Matt Kemp is on the disabled list and will remain there until May 29th. The Dodgers are
1-2 without him and have 11 more games to go. The team is averaging two runs a game without him…coincidence? The starting pitching has been unbelievable and third best in the National League behind the Nationals and Phillies with a 2.92. They average 6.16 innings a game but have a weak bullpen ranking ninth in the NL behind it, having blown 5 saves. Unfortunately I can’t see the rotation continuing its gaudy numbers and at some point Capuano and Lilly will regress. The lineup has no power aside from Andre Ethier. He can easily be pitched around. I mean would you rather face Andre or Loney, Abreu, Ellises, Gordon and Uribe’s replacement…gee tough decision. Kemp’s absence leaves several problems that need to be solved.
For instance who is going to bat third to replace Kemp? Andre could but doesn’t solve any problem since he bats fourth. You need to keep him there. Mark Ellis is a viable candidate if he wasn’t already doing a fantastic job hitting second. Loney can’t even hit for average yet alone any power and we don’t need a weak ground ball to second with Ellis on 1st base forcing a double play. A.J. Ellis is already being put in the fifth spot, but while hitting eight he is the best hitter in the game right there, adding more to his plate by expecting him to drive in runs means he needs to be more aggressive at the plate throwing off his approach that is working great for him. Reality is we don’t have a great answer. Maybe, if we stick with Gordon (which is another post coming soon) at leadoff, we put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the two hole and put Mark Ellis in the three spot. That might be our only solution to the three hitter.
But we still have A.J. Ellis hitting out of his 8th spot. The true glaring deficiency for this offense is a lack of a power hitting guy to drive in runs in the fifth slot in the batting order. We have nobody like one of the best ever in Jeff Kent. That is the perfect model on which to base your fifth hitter. Jeff was patient not giving away at bats. If you chose to walk him fine. But he was also aggressive on pitches in the zone. Something A.J. Ellis isn’t. The plan the last five years was to wait for Loney to figure it out. There was so much promise from 2007-2009, where he hit for some power and we figured he would only get more with age…not true. The last two years he has been one of the most unproductive first baseman in the game. But back to the fifth spot in the order. Bobby Abreu has the patience required, but I question whether he has any pop left in that bat. A bases clearing double against the Rockies gave me hope, but I expected a little more thump from him by now. Only hope is that Scott Van Slyke or Jerry Sands can provide that power and bat needed. But this is Scott’s first cup of coffee and Jerry wasn’t tearing up the PCL in triple A.
The team needs to trade for a power bat. It has to be numeral uno on Ned Colletti’s list of ways to keep his job. They aren’t available in an abundant supply either. If a struggling team has one they are going to wait and hope that they can turn things around before they are dealt. Also the ones being mentioned might not be worth the price since they are pas their prime and haven’t been producing. Names such as the Greek god of walks, Kevin Youkalis, or disabled Justin Morneau. Adam Dunn could be available since the White Sox are in a pseudo rebuilding phase. Shane Victorino has been discussed in the media, but I hate the flying Hawaiian, and the corner infield spots are what we need. The wish is that David Wright would be available but I just don’t see that happening and the Mets are playing decent right now anyway. Carlos Lee on the Astros can be had, he is hitting for average but the pop isn’t there and he hits right handed in Houston…a hitter’s haven. Could Billy Butler be had from Kansas City? Would he fill Loney’s void seeing as they were at one point compared to each other?
Unless the corner infield spots, fifth spot in the batting order, and bench production get solved this just isn’t a recipe for October success. The trading deadline is still two months away and this team might not be in the running by then. We also don’t have the farm system prospects to trade for some of these pieces. And the bullpen will surely need help by then as well. Ned loves overpaying for those guys. All this will rest on Ned, and he wont have McCheap to blame for payroll constrictions. Cost should, would, will be no object to making the Dodgers a better team. But the answer needs to come during the season when you cant throw money at the problem. If Ned doesn’t figure it out someone else will have the luxury of spending Guggenheim money to make this team better. Good Luck.









